Pick This Year's Appy State
by Jack Fact on Aug 31, 2010 8:22 PM EDT
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PrintWe all know the story: Appalachian State 34, Michigan 32. First win by a FCS program over a ranked BCS team, yada yada yada. Can it happen again? That was rhetorical; in an infinite universe not only CAN it happen again, it MUST come to pass over and over and over again (this is a theory embraced by conference doormats, who hope only to live long enough to witness the inevitable Vandy-Duke title game.) Will it happen THIS year? Probably not, but if it does the pant-shitting will likely occur in the first week, as seven ranked squads will be snacking on yummy, yummy FCS cupcakes.
So the question I pose to my fellow fans of forecasting fail, which of the following matchups is the most likely to be "Appalachian'd?"
Florida A&M @ #13 Miami
Youngstown State @ #4 Penn State
Samford @ #20 Florida State
Eastern Illinois @ #9 Iowa
South Carolina State @ #16 Georgia Tech
Coastal Carolina @ #25 West Virginia
Tennessee Tech @ #17 Arkansas
Actually PREDICTING an upset grants you eternal boasting rights here at EDSBS, as well as years of hate mail and burning bags of dog crap from otherwise civilized alums (note: does not, obviously, apply to fervent Miami fans, as even in an infinite universe some things do NOT exist.)
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None of the above
PSU or Iowa are the closest. PSU is going to be starting a sieve at QB, but their running game and D should easily overpower Ytown. Iowa is a team full of 2* talent coached better than anyone else in the nation, ergo they can always get a stiff challenge from a lower division foe (see N.Iowa last year).
A sifter at QB?
I can see that analogy working for the offensive line, but for a QB? I’m not expecting Heisman level numbers (LOLZ), but choosing between a 4* from Michigan and a 4* from Virginia should keep us in at least the Youngstown State game.
@EpicTripod
SBN - Pittsburgh
Success With Honor
by Jeff Junstrom on Aug 31, 2010 9:20 PM EDT up reply actions
Yeah, Iowa
because everyone knows coaching is irrelevant in college football. Just assemble a group of highly rated high school students—because by age 17 we can see clearly what you will amount to as a football player—and toss them out on the field and the rest takes care of itself.
/Florida St’d
"I wish you luck with a capital 'F'" - The Real Elvis.
by StoopsMyAss on Sep 1, 2010 8:48 AM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
I would have gone with
/Charlie Weis’d
But I’m a masochist
A Notre Dame Grad, born and raised in Wisconsin... life put me in the express lane to alcoholism.
Im going outside week 1 and going with what would be the greatest upset in college football history
Georgia St over Alabama.
Hmmm….is that bigger than C6H0?
Conference homers are the lowest form of fandom. That is why the SEC has so many of them.
I don't even want to consider what would happen
if that event occurred.
I imagine a black hole would form in the depth of Saban’s heart and swallow the world. Clearly, those would be the end times.
Curry has beaten #1 Alabama with bad teams before
1981, GT started the season beating #1 Bama (it was Bama’s 2nd game). GT finished 1-10.
Conference homers are the lowest form of fandom. That is why the SEC has so many of them.
Bama was No. 2
Notre Dame was No. 1 when Curry’s 1-9-1 1980 team tied them. So if history is any indicator (and it isn’t), Bill has a couple major upsets in store for his first two years.
Gah, that would probably mean they’re going to lose to Shorter tonight, and I’m going to that game, so never mind.
ULM 21 Bama 14
Oh, Saban, how quickly we forget your humiliating, humiliating losses…
by The Commenter Formerly Known as Not You on Sep 1, 2010 2:38 PM EDT up reply actions
Hmmm...
My pick is South Dakota State over Nebraska.
by Minnesota Fats on Aug 31, 2010 10:01 PM EDT up reply actions
Is that week one?
Well? We’re waiting!
by Albino Tornado on Aug 31, 2010 11:38 PM EDT up reply actions
“but if it does the pant-shitting will likely occur in the first week, as seven ranked squads will be snacking on yummy, yummy FCS cupcakes” <- can’t figure out blockquotes
Doesn’t have to be week 1. The Gophers will never be ranked this year, so I couldn’t pick them, and the Jacks are a respectable 1AA team. Don’t go all devidee on me.
by Minnesota Fats on Sep 1, 2010 12:16 AM EDT up reply actions
Highlight what you want in the block
then click the quotation marks.
can’t figure out blockquotes
See
A Notre Dame Grad, born and raised in Wisconsin... life put me in the express lane to alcoholism.
I’m not smart. Couldn’t figure out how to get them to not blockquote the whole post. Thanks.
by Minnesota Fats on Sep 2, 2010 4:11 PM EDT up reply actions
Sagarin rates Georgia State No. 243 out of 245
So, yeah, that would definitely be a bigger upset than App. State over Michigan. Probably would do something really bad to the space-time continuum.
Youngstown state is the closest on your list
If RIchmond plays UVA or VT, also a chance.
"Voetbal is pas totaal als je wint"- Coach Adun
"The greatest sin is to spurn the gift"- Coach Alistair
App State is the new App State
App State over Florida.
It is a truth universally acknowledged that a zombie in possession of brains must be in want of more brains
by Chekhov's Spread Gun Option on Aug 31, 2010 11:21 PM EDT reply actions
Trap Games
First of all, none of these upsets are going to happen. That said, Penn State has to at least be looking ahead just a smidge to #1 Bama’s visit the following week. Ditto for Miami and their #2 Buckeye guests in week 2.
The sweetest upset, at least for one man, would be FSU going down to Samford. Seeing his alma mater slay the school that (in his mind) pushed him out too soon would have to give ol’ Bobby some level of pleasure.
That will be my excuse if PSU loses to Alabama
PSU was caught looking ahead to the game against Kent State the following week.
Bloggin' at joepasdoghouse.com
The answer is Richmond over Virginia
but since you’re going with ranked teams, there’s a chance that “also receiving votes” Temple will lose this weekend to Villanova.
otherwise, none of these I-AA teams can hold a candle to Appy State, which is the most important factor in picking FCS upsets.
Also, Penn State is #4? News to me.
Bloggin' at joepasdoghouse.com
I dont think Richmond pulls it off
London knows his former team to well.
Villanova beat Temple last year, no reason they couldnt do it again. While Villanova is equivalent to App St, Temple is no Michigan.
Conference homers are the lowest form of fandom. That is why the SEC has so many of them.
Preseason Sagarin predictor has Nova as a 7 point favorite
Conference homers are the lowest form of fandom. That is why the SEC has so many of them.
They won the Mac East last year after Nova beat them
Conference homers are the lowest form of fandom. That is why the SEC has so many of them.
preseason sagarin also has colonial as a better conference
than both the MAC and the Sun Belt.
Conference homers are the lowest form of fandom. That is why the SEC has so many of them.
Teams in top 120, preseason sagarin
Colonial – 7 out of 10
MAC – 9 out of 13
Sun belt – 4 out of 9
SoCon is 2 out of 9 (App St and Elon) if anyone cares.
Conference homers are the lowest form of fandom. That is why the SEC has so many of them.
Samford...
all the way. And to make it even better Samford will pull a fast one and rehire Bobby Bowden to win against FSU.
by Terry Bowden's Shoe Lifts on Sep 1, 2010 1:59 PM EDT reply actions
South Carolina State FTW
You heard it here first.
"I like the taste of danger most of all." - Jonatha Brooke
Name one bad-loss upset of a Paul Johnson-coached team, in the past 13 years
I’ll wait. Tech will win that game by three TDs, if the defense is as mediocre as I expect it to be, unless Nesbitt gets hurt. Then they win by 10 points.
Furman in 2000?
They werent a bad team, they made the playoffs, probably because they beat GSU. Bad. But, Johnson won the title that year, so shouldnt have lost that game.
Conference homers are the lowest form of fandom. That is why the SEC has so many of them.
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