FanPost

Math, Moral Victory, Margin of Victory, and More Math


Inspired by the Transitive Victories fanpost, I figured I'd post my pet project.  It's a computer point system that factors in margin of victory/defeat.

The teams are listed by average game score which is:  

Winning Team= {.6+(location)+(margin of victory}*{opponent's average margin of victory}*{opponent's opponent's average margin of victory}


Losing Team = {.4+(location)+(margin of defeat/100}*{opponent's average margin of victory}*{opponent's opponent's average margin of victory}

Location=+0.03 for away, -0.03 for home, 0 for neutral     margin of victory/defeat is capped at 40

In short, if you beat a good team by a lot, you get a lot of points.  If you lose to a good team by one, you still get a good amount of points.

I realize the problems involved;  mostly, the circular references and rewarding teams the run up the score. 

Below are the rankings:

Change is the number of spots the team moved up or down since last week.

Top 40:

Week 6       Change
1 Nebraska B12 0.195327 +9
2 South Carolina SEC 0.190479 +11
3 LSU SEC 0.187914 +2
4 Alabama SEC 0.187085 -2
5 North Carolina State ACC 0.17962 +4
6 Boise State WAC 0.178887 +5
7 Ohio State B10 0.178309 -3
8 Iowa B10 0.178297 -7
9 Oklahoma B12 0.17685 +3
10 TCU MWC 0.174477 +7
11 Auburn SEC 0.173889 +7
12 Virginia Tech ACC 0.17304 +9
13 Oklahoma State B12 0.172702 -6
14 Oregon P10 0.17182 -6
15 Arizona P10 0.168193 -9
16 Missouri B12 0.167729 +6
17 Stanford P10 0.167594 -2
18 Michigan State B10 0.163934 +10
19 Nevada WAC 0.163501 0
20 Texas A&M B12 0.163349 +3
21 Delaware CAA 0.162171 +4
22 Oregon State P10 0.161996 +15
23 Michigan B10 0.161184 -7
24 California P10 0.160638 +5
25 James Madison CAA 0.154913 -11
26 North Carolina ACC 0.153018 +14
27 Arkansas SEC 0.151807 +29
28 Mississippi State SEC 0.151284 +20
29 Utah MWC 0.151244 +33
30 USC P10 0.147716 -3
31 Florida SEC 0.147617 +2
32 Villanova CAA 0.147528 -1
33 Appalachian State Southern 0.14611 +6
34 Temple MAC 0.144173 -10
35 Kansas State B12 0.142563 -32
36 Notre Dame 1AI 0.142511 +5
37 Illinois B10 0.142164 +30
38 West Virginia BE 0.14154 +7
39 Florida State ACC 0.140906 +39
40 Arizona State P10 0.140136 +17

 

Conferences:

1 SEC Standings 0.164867 0
2 Big 12 Standings 0.146725 +1
3 Pacific-10 Standings 0.143447 +1
4 Big Ten Standings 0.140739 -2
5 ACC Standings 0.129653 0
6 Big East Standings 0.126954 +1
7 IA Independents Standings 0.125615 +1
8 CAA Standings 0.125057 -2
9 WAC Standings 0.108585 +1
10 Conference USA Standings 0.104101 -1
11 Ivy Standings 0.098238 0
12 Mountain West Standings 0.094947 +1
13 Mid-American Standings 0.091868 -1
14 Missouri Valley Standings 0.091234 +3
15 Southern Standings 0.090524 0
16 Northeast Standings 0.089727 0
17 IAA Independents Standings 0.086753 -3
18 Patriot League Standings 0.08013 0
19 Great West Standings 0.078052 +2
20 Sun Belt Standings 0.077568 -1
21 Ohio Valley Standings 0.077145 -1
22 SWAC Standings 0.073718 +1
23 Big Sky Standings 0.072512 -1
24 Southland Standings 0.063303 +1
25 Pioneer Standings 0.059442 -1
26 Big South Standings 0.049624 0
27 MEAC Standings 0.047715 0

Bottom 10:

235 Mississippi Valley State SWAC 0.029851 -2
236 Charleston Southern Big South 0.02899 -1
237 New Mexico State WAC 0.027949 -3
238 Nicholls State Southland 0.022776 +1
239 New Mexico MWC 0.020265 +2
240 Presbyterian Big South 0.016951 +2
241 Howard MEAC 0.016856 -4
242 Valparaiso Pioneer 0.016512 -2
243 Virginia Military Institute Big South 0.014889 0
244 Savannah State MEAC 0.011158 0

FanPosts are user-submitted, and thus NOT representative of EDSBS editorial or any of our opinions unless posted by us ourselves. Please refrain from posting blatant spam or self-promotion, because this makes us hate you. Thanks!

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