SIGNS OF LIFE: STEELE SPEAKS
Phil: Emerging from the DataBunker.Speaks, writes, emits information at a startling rate: whatever you call what Phil Steele does, it’s ramping up for the release of Steele 2008. (Per his website: June. You can usually find a few copies ahead of schedule on stands, and then call friends and bark at them incoherently with excitement. They’ll get used to this after three years or so of these calls.)
He has comparative strength of schedules tables up based on last year’s winning percentages, and they’re further proof that the less you pay attention to winning percentages in terms of where you put teams in your preseason, the better.
1. Georgia
2. Florida
3. Arkansas
4. UCLA
4. Alabama
6. Auburn
7. Ohio State
8. Kentucky
9. Colorado
9. Baylor
9. Washington
9. Ohio Oregon State.
Que pobrelito, Baylor: you’re the econ major who, through some trick of malicious scheduling, has stumbled into an advanced price theory class in your first semester. Georgia is set up so well for this year: coming in they have the awe-inspiring schedule, meaning their first real foray out of the south, interstate rivalry with a feisty Tech team, and SEC schedule have them stocked high from the onset. Coming out of the schedule, they can still have one loss (a la Florida in 2006) and may still have a legitimate nod over an undefeated team with one loss leaving the season because of THE SCHEDULE, which will be typed in all caps due to its importance in shaking out where Georgia is when the season finishes.
(Barring Knowshon being kidnapped by FARC rebels, this won’t happen. We haven’t saved up quite enough money to make this happen yet, but we’ll keep you posted.)
BTW, Iowa claims the 95th weakest schedule by winning percentage going into 2008. Ferentz Silences Doubters With Football Renaissance. Thought we’d just type that for the six to ten sportswriters who will have to write that same inaccurate wretched story come November or December of this year. Just cut and paste it, guys!









1
Oops Pow Surprise says:
That sentence won’t be necessary, Orson, after the Hawkeyes lose at Pittsburgh.
May 19th, 2008 at 3:02 pm
2
Orson Swindle says:
Writing that sentence hurts, doesn’t it?
May 19th, 2008 at 3:12 pm
3
Montague says:
Ohio State is both 7th and 9th in SOS?
May 19th, 2008 at 3:15 pm
4
BennyBeav says:
Okay, I know Oregon State has a deserved reputation for insecurity; but did you really have to drop us from the list so you can include Ohio State twice?
May 19th, 2008 at 3:16 pm
5
Montague says:
Maybe it’s BIZARRO Ohio State. You know, the 2-time defending national champs.
May 19th, 2008 at 3:17 pm
6
Aerobab says:
S-E-C! 6 of the top…9?! Nice!
May 19th, 2008 at 3:21 pm
7
beckett says:
If Ferentz wants to embattle himself with a lawsuit over a buyout… a loss to Pittsburgh is apparently the place to start
May 19th, 2008 at 3:21 pm
8
Doug says:
No FARC is gonna be able to hold Knowshon. At the very least you’re gonna need the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine to keep him off the field November 1st.
May 19th, 2008 at 3:22 pm
9
oc phil says:
It looks like the key to being at the top of those tables is schedule a good ooc game yourself and play a bunch of teams who got fat off of cupcakes last year.
May 19th, 2008 at 3:24 pm
10
Orson Swindle says:
And our west coast brethren chime in, right on cue. For the record, that took nine comments.
May 19th, 2008 at 3:26 pm
11
skinnyphatman says:
What is tougher? Playing the # 1 schedule or playing the # 7 AND # 9 schedule, presumably in one season. And here I was thinking that tOSU had a cake walk of a schedule.
May 19th, 2008 at 3:26 pm
12
beckett says:
playing two schedules and STILL jim delany douches all over the idea of a playoff…
May 19th, 2008 at 3:29 pm
13
TideDruid says:
The only way Mr. Steele could look any better in that picture is by pulling the jeans-with-no-belt look.
May 19th, 2008 at 3:48 pm
14
Jerkwheat says:
I’m torn because I want college football to be here, but I don’t want to endure the horrors of that Steele Approved #3 schedule without a certain pair of running backs around anymore.
May 19th, 2008 at 4:11 pm
15
NewAZTiger says:
#13 – Saban has the Sansabelt wardrobe locked down for the SEC, so UGA fans must wear belts.
Maybe we should compile a “Wardrobes of the SEC” list.
Florida – Jorts. Of course.
Bama – Houndstooth and Sansabelts rockin’ the runway
LSU – Golden Cornbatter
OK, I’ve done 1/4th of a great Piece for Orson….
May 19th, 2008 at 4:20 pm
16
Whohah says:
It’s «pobrecito», Orson. Now you’ve gone and pissed off the Cubanos. ˇAy, mi Dios!
May 19th, 2008 at 4:25 pm
17
Last Dragon says:
Of course this list is loaded with SEC schools. They have to play 8 games against each other. And there aren’t too many pushovers there.
May 19th, 2008 at 4:41 pm
18
Year2-Dave says:
More bad news for Iowa: the Hawkeyes scored on approximately 23.97% of their drives, good for 112th in the country. First? The Gators, natch, having scored on 57.43% of their drives.
Didn’t Steele pick FSU in the top 10 last year? Or at least a significant improvement? It’s a small stain on a man’s otherwise impressive career.
May 19th, 2008 at 5:14 pm
19
marcillac says:
I can see 30 NFL GMs drooling over the prospect of stealing the renaissant Ferentz even now.
May 19th, 2008 at 8:32 pm
20
Matt says:
Ok, we all know the SEC is the greatest thing since sliced bread…but let’s take a look at the top three.
Georgia’s OOC schedule is Central Michigan, Georgia Southern, Georgia Tech, and ASU.
Florida plays Hawaii, Miami, and FSU. VERY respectable.
Arkansas is #3 by having Western Illinois, Louisiana-Monroe, Tulsa, and Texas on the schedule.
May 19th, 2008 at 8:32 pm
21
NewAZTiger says:
Why do people always downgrade the SEC OOC schedule? It’s 3 or 4 games most years.
Take UGA for example. UGA plays Alabama, AU, and LSU from the West, as well as all the east teams. They face Spurrier, Saban. Fulmer, Johnson, Miles, Meyer, Brooks, and Tuberville. No, that’s not (yet) a Coaches Hall of Fame wing, but it will be. The only coach on that list you could argue to not be included in a HOF is Johnson, and he’s done great things at Vandy. UGA could lose 4 games this year and still be a good team. Fulmer, Miles, Meyer, and Tuberville all have about the same level of talent on their team as Richt does. It’s all about who gets hot at the right time at the right positions.
The SEC East has 3 coaches with national titles (Fulmer, Spurrier, and Meyer). That’s more than any other conference. Then Richt has multiple 10+ win seasons without a title (including a 13-1 season). Brooks and Johnson aren’t exactly chopped liver either.
The SEC West has 2 coaches with national titles (Saban, Miles) which is also more than any other conference right now (IIRC). In addition, Tuberville went undefeated, has multiple 10 win seasons, and has a sick record vs top 10 and top 5 teams. Oh, and then there’s Houston Nutt – who has multiple 10 win seasons. The “slouches” in the SEC West are Petrino (no slouch) and Croom (most underappreciated coach in the SEC).
The SEC, right now, has more coaching talent in play than all the other BCS conferences combined.
Take the top 12 from the other BCS conferences, and the SEC alone would hold it’s own against them.
USC – Pete Carroll (Not too shabby)
Ohio State – Tressel (we’ve seen how that’s gone)
Texas – Mack Brown
OU – Bob Stoops
FSU – Bobby Bowden
PSU – Joe Pa
And then who? You gotta find 6 more qualified coaches to throw in there just to match the SEC’s current talent, and you just can’t.
Just looking at Arkansas’ Schedule – Western Illinois might as well be any of the bottom 6 schools from the Pac-10, Big 12, Big 10, or ACC. Those conferences have in-conference off weeks. The SEC doesn’t.
May 19th, 2008 at 9:59 pm
22
NewAZTiger says:
OK, so the SEC west is tied with the Big 12 for most coaches with National Championships.
May 19th, 2008 at 10:00 pm
23
beckett929 says:
#21 –
I get your point, and admittingly I’ve been a critic in the past of your OOC schedules, because we don’t see SEC teams travel outside the South and play other teams… but then we hear “well our conference is just so great, we dont have to prove anything”… and while you’ve done a great job kicking the mortal shit outta Ohio State the last two years… the mighty Saban also lost to UL-Monroe last year. Arkansas got beat by Missouri, the Michigan/Florida chaotic game. Kentucky lost 5 of 6 to Louisville, and how many times does USC have to hammer one of you guys? For all his superior coaching ability, man Tuberville and those mighty Auburn Tigers really looked lost against a bunch of freshmen a few years ago on opening day. Or how about when Georgia played West Virginia… awful funny when a bunch of Dawgs we’re looking at the back of Steve Slaton’s jersey all night…
We hear all year how you automatically deserve this and that and everything else…. but you don’t go out and really blow the rest of us away when you do play GOOD out of conference teams. Credit where its due, ASU/UGA should be a good game… but its also one that Georgia should win by 30 given how greatly theyre being hyped. So if they win by blocking a last second FG, you haven’t impressed an impartial judge…Auburn go to Morgantown, but only after getting the game moved to the 3rd week of October instead of opening day, because Tuberville admitted he wanted to get some games under his new QB’s belt beforehand.
Final thought…. never try to sell me on Nick Saban being such an evil genius when he has a L on his record again UL-Monroe. No matter how bare the cabinet was when he arrived, there is NO EXCUSE for a former national title winner (if thats the angle youre pushing) to lose to them…
May 19th, 2008 at 11:05 pm
24
Oops Pow Surprise says:
I’m numb to it anymore, O. It’s not like a passable tailback is going to appear just because I wish it so. Bring on Paki!
May 20th, 2008 at 12:36 am
25
Jeff says:
The Big Ten also has 2 coaches who have national championships and 5 months ago, they had 3 to be tied with the SEC East.
Your coaching comparison is just ridiculous. The SEC does have very good coaches right now, and that is certainly part of why it’s the best conference. But you make excuses for SEC coaches and then just ignore other great coaches in non-SEC conferences. Rick Neuheisel at UCLA has been very good, as has Jeff Tedford. If Rich Rodriguez hadn’t moved to Michigan you would have included him on the list. Therefore, he should still be on there. Butch Davis and Frank Beamer are 2 other great coaches from the ACC.
Plus there are several coaches who have had great success, just haven’t sustained it enough to be included. Such as Gary Pinkel, Greg Schiano and Bret Bielema.
May 20th, 2008 at 12:51 am
26
oc phil says:
#21- Great parody of how delusional and illogical some SEC fans can get.
#23- Very well said.
Actually the Pac 10 has 2 MNC coaches as well, Carroll and Erickson. And for my money Belotti was totally screwed out of his shot when #2 Oregon was bypassed by the BCS a few years ago (and he lost another shot with the injury to Dixon last year since they were the most impressive team in the land before he went down).
May 20th, 2008 at 2:14 am
27
NewAZTiger says:
#23 – Saban lost to UAB while at LSU. So what? Carroll lost to Stanford last year – the largest upset in CFB history at the time. Is Carroll a bad coach? Is there any excuse for a national title winner to lose as a 40 point favorite to Stanford? The line for the Bama-UL-Monroe game was much closer than 40, and the talent gap between USC and Stanford was much larger than Bama-ULM.
As for the AU-WVU game, both schools wanted it moved. AU has 2 new coordinators, and WVU has a new staff. It was win-win for both schools.
The fact of the matter is that any given year there are at least 6 teams you can name in the SEC before the season to win the conference, and no one would be totally surprised.
UT, UF, UGA, LSU, AU, Bama. That’s 1/2 the conference that realistically could win the division year in and year out.
Big 10 – tOSU, UM. Those are the only year-in, year-out candidates.
Pac-10 – USC. Stretching it for CAL. OK, done there. To the Pac-10’s credit, they have had multiple teams win the conference since 1990, but the big-dog year in and year out is USC.
Big East – WVU? Louisville? I don’t have a good feel of that conference because of all the changes.
ACC – FSU, Miami, VT
Big12 – UT, OU. Maybe Nebraska…
May 20th, 2008 at 7:08 am
28
Doug says:
beckett@23:
Credit where its due, ASU/UGA should be a good game… but its also one that Georgia should win by 30 given how greatly theyre being hyped. So if they win by blocking a last second FG, you haven’t impressed an impartial judge…
“Impartial judge” . . . mmhmm, sure, tell me another one.
So ASU-UGA “should be a good game,” which leads me to presume you think they’re fairly evenly matched. But no, UGA is “greatly hyped” by the media, so because of what the media is doing, the Dawgs now have to win by 30 to impress you. Just so you know, even the 2005 USC squad didn’t beat ASU by that many in Tempe.
Have you thought about contacting the Clinton campaign about PR jobs, though? You’d be a perfect fit. “OK, so Obama pulled out a win in State X despite the fact that we were leading him in that state for months . . . but given all the money he spent and the media hype he was getting, he shoulda won by, uh, 20 points. No, 30! Yeah, that’s the ticket . . . “
May 20th, 2008 at 7:53 am
29
OhioDawg says:
Notre Dame at 77? Wasn’t strenght of schedule one of their many excuses?
May 20th, 2008 at 8:21 am
30
bup bup bup says:
“UT, UF, UGA, LSU, AU, Bama. That’s 1/2 the conference that realistically could win the division year in and year out.”
hahahahahahaha
alabama?!? tennessee??
since when?
May 20th, 2008 at 11:10 am
31
BurritoBrosShits says:
Mention of Phil Steele brings warmth into my cold, dead heart/
May 20th, 2008 at 11:19 am
32
Doug says:
#30 -
Have you been intoxicated the last six months straight or something? Tennessee has appeared in two of the last four SEC championship games. Including last year’s.
Now, for making me say something complimentary about Tennessee, I’m going to use my super-secret Catholic hotline to call Pope Benedict and ask him to pray that you get gonorrhea. Happy?
May 20th, 2008 at 11:32 am
33
bup bup bup says:
aw, you’re right, i’m dumb.
alabama is still pretty laughable though
May 20th, 2008 at 11:38 am
34
Doug says:
No hard feelings. I’m backing off the gonorrhea threat, BTW.
May 20th, 2008 at 1:23 pm
35
Holly says:
Now, for making me say something complimentary about Tennessee, I’m going to use my super-secret Catholic hotline to call Pope Benedict and ask him to pray that you get gonorrhea.
No, do go on. I’M enjoying this.
May 20th, 2008 at 1:56 pm
36
Heath says:
12 bleepin’ days until the arrival of the sacred text. Homage!
May 20th, 2008 at 5:09 pm
37
Nick says:
#21 (and 27) -
I totally agree with your point that the SEC hires the best coaches, which means they have the strongest schedules even if they don’t play anyone out of conference (because they have to play each other) and as a result they are the best conference who wins the national championship every year and no other conference can touch them . . . . wait they don’t win every year and they aren’t untouchable . . . wow how does that work???
Don’t get me wrong I think the SEC is the strongest conference in football. They have the largest fanbases, pay the highest salaries to coaches and as a result generally have good teams. However, they aren’t ahead of other conferences by as much as SEC fans would like to think. Take a look at records in bcs games or records b/w conferences and you’ll find that the SEC is only marginally better than conferences like the pac-10 and big-12 (sorry big-10 fans I looked all this up and your recent history against other conferences is a bit disappointing).
The SEC can afford coaches with proven track records (i’d say its comparable to baseball where the yankees play only proven veterans) but this only guarantees some stability and a decent team minimum and doesn’t mean much beyond that (note the yankees are always decent but the lowly devil rays actually leading the eastern division of baseball right now). Before last year, few would attempt to argue that Mark Mangini would be a better coach in 2007 than Nick Saban but, when you look at the results from last year, Mangini seemingly did more with less.
The track records and histories of head coaches in a conference probably have slight correlation to the overall strength of that conference. However, they are nowhere near as indicative as the actual games played between schools in different conferences. You can argue that UT, UF, UGA, LSU, AU, Bama aren’t going to be terrible in any given year but that doesn’t stop teams like Missouri, Kansas, Arizona State, West Virginia, etc. from being better than any one of those teams for THAT year. If the SEC doesn’t play anyone OOC there is no way to tell where the conference stands for THAT year. All we know is they played some in conference teams who aren’t bad . . . . not necessarily that they played the best or that the conference is stronger than some other conference that is having a freakishly good or surprising year.
Scheduling OOC games like USC/Ohio State, UG/ASU legitimizes schedule strength by showing exactly which teams/conferences are the best for THAT year and its necessary for SEC legitimacy just like it is for any other conference.
May 20th, 2008 at 8:33 pm