EDSBS TOP 25: 1-3, BECAUSE WE ARE SLOW AND HUNG OVER.
Again, what you’re about to read is straight foolishness. But at least we admit that.
The preliminary, subject to all edits, clarifications, admissions of complete brain spasm:
1. USC. No cracks. Just none: USC remains a smooth, creaseless facade of sheer talent with brilliant coaches pulling the levers, ensuring that anyone with half a tank of rationality will pick them at number one. This is also the obvious pick, too, which is sad but true for those of us who really love to make the contrarian’s pick.

The Tony Robbins of football continues to inspire with excellence and synergistic practices, you angels, you.
The wobbliest piece of USC’s American Quilt of Talented Angels–we’re sure Pete Carroll calls it something like that, as opposed to the old Cartesian oppression of “depth chart”–is at wide receiver, but even there the term “wobbly” remains, well, wobbly since Vidal Hazelton and Patrick Turner fit the mold of unmanageable USC receivers: tall, fast enough, good route runners with balletic skills to bring down balls in coverage.
Defensively, Carroll continues to run a pro defense in college garb. The worst they’ve looked was against Football Jesus, and that was, after all, Football Jesus. (Praise his name!) Brian Cushing has all the makings of (backhanded compliment coming) a great college-only linebacker, and Sedrick Ellis can probably already begin writing generous checks based on the credit of a fat pro contract he’ll receive for being huge, fast, and fond of playing defensive tackle.
They play in a league that, with the exception of Oregon State, has shown little ability to catch USC and bring them back to the peleton. Throw in a road game against Nebraska and Notre Dame, two teams they still outclass in terms of talent, facilities, and coaching Q, and USC is an easy, easy, easy pick.
The skeptic interjects: Last season, far from a clean slate for USC, showed several deep cracks in the veneer of invulnerability, especially in terms of offensive output. The loss to UCLA seems potentially terrifying given how manhandled the USC offense truly was, especially on the corners where smaller, seemingly less talented cornerbacks owned USC’s wideouts. Booty’s more turnover prone than his predecessors, and the departure of Steve Sarkisian Lane Kiffin prior to the 2006 season did take something of USC’s offensive prowess away. (God damn you, tasty and free Bud Light.–ed.)
2. Michigan. Holy, gobsmacked hell, what in the living daylights is Michigan doing here? A team that lost its bowl game by mucho when its defense couldn’t figure out USC’s innovative “throw long to Dwayne Jarrett” attack, a team that couldn’t stop Ohio State from heaving its waterboy across the goal line in their rivalry game, a team that when the chips were down showed all the creativity of Futurama’s Bender minus his brain when confronted with a problem in a big game (”I am Mike Debord, please insert QB Waggle.”)…why here?

Michigan as Bender? It’s a comparison we should expand on…
A cakey road schedule helps, as does the siren song of returning starters Mike Hart, Chad “Average Michigan White Guy qb Mark XIV” Henne, and Mario Manningham. On defense they’ve got Alan Branch and Lamar Woodley to replace, but otherwise will plug holes systematically as they have been wont to do during Carr’s tenure. If this is a sucker’s pick, it won’t be exposed for many weeks after an early season matchup with Oregon at home, or at least not until the Ohio State game, which by all accounts Michigan should win, but won’t.
The skeptic interjects: Forecasting off the schedule izz dumm–Florida was supposed to have no shot with a 5.15 grade schedule last year, and yet somehow ended up by luck in the national title game with one loss. The Big Ten, like any really competitive league, tends to handicap itself in the national title race by pulling ambitious crabs back into the bucket of teams with at least one loss. And, as always, Michigan’s problems begin and end with one word: Sweatervest.

The eleventh-ranked google image result for “sweatervest,” and problem number one for Michigan.
3. West Virginia. Overranked? Sure, but if you’re gonna go, go out in flames atop the 12 cylinder Dodge Tomahawk that is the West Virginia offense and its counterpart, the wildly unpredictable Texas Hold ‘em game that is their 3-3-5 defense. Pat White, Steve Slaton, Darius Reynaud, freshman Noel Devine…all weapons in the hand of the (just one more metaphor and we’ll stop, we swear) four-armed Goro that is Rich Rodriguez’s offense. Frankly, we have to walk away from the computer for a moment to calm down.
(Punches wall, screams. Returns.)

The Mountaineers’ offense: Goro wins.
The schedule’s nice and easy, the defense will…well, whiskey-cranked WVU fans will just have to pray they hold serve a few times. This team remains the most pure fun to watch period, as evidenced beautifully by their bowl game versus Georgia Tech. Even when down 35-17 in the third, we didn’t doubt for a second they would at least threaten to win within a margin of three points or so, and for two very good reasons:
1. It’s West Virginia, and
2. Chan Gailey was coaching on the other sideline.
Their biggest rival is undergoing a change in management (Louisville), and a quick eyeballing of the schedule looks relatively bump-free. We say: Vroom, vroom, y’all.
The skeptic would like to have a word with you. Despite having a linebacker named John Holmes, little suggests West Virginia will achieve consistent penetration and stop playing roulette on defense, scoring huge on one spin of the dial and then losing it all on the next hand. The skeptic would like to have a word with himself, please Even with the disastrous performance versus Louisville, however, they still placed 28th overall in the nation…not elite, but still very good, and well beyond the “holding serve” criteria.









1
PSUgirl says:
Where, pray tell, is the speedy SEC?
July 9th, 2007 at 2:31 pm
2
Domer Guy says:
Couldn’t be happier to see those two on top, especially considering my first round coach-hating draft pick this year.
July 9th, 2007 at 2:32 pm
3
Pac10Wonk says:
It’s Lane “Lose-Lose Situation” Kiffin who left for Da Raiders; Sarkisian is now the OC.
July 9th, 2007 at 2:34 pm
4
Orson Swindle says:
We can’t show all the leg at once–this fan dance requires some teasing. But the SEC’s gonna have some crab/bucket dynamics this year, too, especially in the East.
July 9th, 2007 at 2:35 pm
5
Mike says:
What are crab/bucket dynamics?
July 9th, 2007 at 2:41 pm
6
Herb says:
What, coverage of WVU and no mention of Owen Schmitt? Did his restraining order finally come through, Orson?
July 9th, 2007 at 2:41 pm
7
Brian says:
Ooooh look at the topical/timely use of the word “Peleton.” Someone tell me why the first stage of the Tour de France went through England.
July 9th, 2007 at 2:45 pm
8
jebushchrist says:
Hey, Pete? Betty White called, she wants her arms back.
July 9th, 2007 at 2:47 pm
9
Odell 51 says:
Three things about WFVU.
1. Indeed the most fun to watch. I am tatooed on Steve Slaton’s balls I love them so much.
2. WFVU raided the JUCO ranks to improve the D. Don’t worry. They will hold serve more than we think. I would actually be shocked if they don’t play in the MNCG.
3. Whoooooo!!!!!!
July 9th, 2007 at 2:48 pm
10
Aaron says:
Is today National Crab Bucket Metaphor Day? Because I thought that wasn’t until August 15th. I need to know these kinds of things.
July 9th, 2007 at 2:53 pm
11
Stephen Colboar says:
great, Crab/Bucket dynamics in the east and crab pinching dynamics from a crazed weasel in the west
July 9th, 2007 at 2:54 pm
12
Orson Swindle says:
Crab/bucket: place a bunch of crabs in a bucket. When you pull one out, one inevitably grabs the other with its claw before it can escape. Metaphor for a situation where no one can get a clear advantage due to infighting/intense competition.
July 9th, 2007 at 2:59 pm
13
Mat says:
I’m a Michigan fan, so trust me when I say two is too high. The secondary was a major weakness last year primarily because Morgan Trent couldn’t cover the side opposite Lock-Down Leon Hall. The other CBs were a disaster. A few teams poked at this deficiency but had their QB sacked by Woodley or pressured by Branch before they could get too far. OSU and USC were the only teams who had the talent to take advantage of what was a major and (in hindsight) obvious flaw.
Its no comfort that Trent becomes the top CB this year and inexperience and limited talent follow on the depth chart. The fanbase’s hope rides on a true freshman to step up. Even if he is Neon Deon the Second, the nickel and dime backs will be a weakness. Now that teams have seen the OSU/USC tapes they would be wise to go 4 wide and pass like mad.
The front 7 should still be good, the offense should be excellent, but in order to win all the challenges we are supposed to win (Oregon, Wisconsin, Penn State, Notre Dame, etc.) we’ll need to score 40+ points some weeks. With DeBord and Carr it seems unlikely that one or more of these quality opponents won’t find a way to trip us up. And yeah, theres those OSU guys.
MSU by the way has a clock counting down to the Michigan game. Not sure its relevant but their potential to upset based on rabid rage alone shouldn’t be discounted. At least we can laugh at those guys while OSU (please god temporarily) has their chuckles.
July 9th, 2007 at 3:02 pm
14
Mike Honcho says:
Sorry Orson, but must disagree with not having LSU #2. There defense will be scary good and the offense has enough weapons to score the 14 or slightly less points the defense will need to win. Matt Mauck…..err Flynn may actually do a better job than Jamarcus, who’s head would implode on a regular basis in crucial situations last season.
Sure they will get one loss during the season (hopefully circa 2003 style), but playing the SEC schedule and the Va Tech game should get them to the BCS Champ.
July 9th, 2007 at 3:10 pm
15
NoleinTexas says:
I will compare myself to Michigan, but I will not kill myself.
July 9th, 2007 at 3:14 pm
16
AUAlum says:
Somebody will play the Baraka/Sub-Zero/Johnny Cage to WVU’s Goro this year and keep them out of the BCS Championship Game. Whenever a top 25 Big East team steps away from its home stadium, it turns into a MAC team.
July 9th, 2007 at 3:15 pm
17
RedDevilEA says:
Orson, are these based on how good the teams seem to be going into the season, or how you think they’ll finish?
July 9th, 2007 at 3:16 pm
18
mp says:
BAMA’S #1 BITCHES
July 9th, 2007 at 3:17 pm
19
Oops Pow Surprise says:
Mat, you beat me to it.
Morgan Trent is awful. I watched the bowl game with a UM player’s brother; the brother alerted me to Trent’s presence and went on to explain that most of the completions to wide receivers would come against Trent.
He was absolutely right.
Michigan is awfully talented. That is beyond discussion. But if any team’s one true liability is at one of the corner spots, it can spell disaster when the opposition goes out of their way to exploit it; just look what Indiana and James Hardy did to Iowa and Adam “Shutdown” Shada (which is like nicknaming a fat guy “Tiny”) last season.
July 9th, 2007 at 3:18 pm
20
Wooderson says:
Hate to nit-pick, but a Tomahawk perches you upon a V-10, not a V-12.
The only reason I know htis is because it’s a Dodge Viper engine, and Dodge Vipers kick major, major ass.
Too bad detroit dropped the ball and didn’t go all out for a V-12. Go Big or Go Home, guys.
July 9th, 2007 at 3:20 pm
21
Southern Papa says:
Somewhat agree with Mike @ # 14. LSU is almost so good that they are scary. The defense will be awesome, but the offensive personnel changes could be shades of Gerry Dinardo/Lou Tepper. Will be holding my breath, but not as much as last couple of seasons, when they seemed to steal a few wins where the games should not have even been close with all of the offensive firepower they had.
July 9th, 2007 at 3:25 pm
22
LemmeHearYaSayWarEagle says:
Does mp stand for “methed pecker”?
July 9th, 2007 at 3:28 pm
23
Brewster Crew says:
#7 Brian,
Because if a large group of people came in from Germany, everyone would start surrendering?
July 9th, 2007 at 3:28 pm
24
Nick says:
Listen Orson, with Les Miles verbal smackdown of Hayley Lafontaine causing reverberations coast-to-coast, I just don’t see how you can’t have LSU #1. That team is gonna be fired-up after Les metaphorically bitch slapped that 11 year old.
July 9th, 2007 at 3:30 pm
25
JoesDeliGatorTail says:
#17- Since Orson is taking schedule into account, it shows that his rankings are predictive. I dislike this method and think that a good pre-season poll should show which teams are best at the beggining of the season, not who has the easiest schedule.
July 9th, 2007 at 3:35 pm
26
DC Trojan says:
I am not convinced that losing Lane Kiffin to the Raiders is the end of the world, offensively. IIRC, it was Sarkisian who came up with the innovative half-time adjustment of “Stop running and start throwing” in the most recent Rose Bowl, and he is also more clearly a Norm Chow kind of guy – having played for him in college, and been the QB coach under Chow at SC…
If the O-line can do a better job of keeping pressure off Booty, if the coaches adjust their calls to his throwing style, if the defense can actually score some points this year, if the WRs actually deliver on their apparent promise, and if the Mongolian horde of running backs actually get some decent run blocking – in other words, if SC actually has a walking fullback or two after September… well, then the pre-season #1 ranking might be justified.
In the meantime, it’s more a reflection of the number of question marks for all the other usual suspects.
July 9th, 2007 at 3:37 pm
27
Orson Swindle says:
It’s semi-predictive, meaning we take schedule somewhat into account, but try to mix a good dose of absolute value in there, too.
July 9th, 2007 at 3:43 pm
28
oc phil says:
I agree with DC. The real problem in the UCLA game last year was the lack of a running game, which went back to the lack of a fullback. Even a team with the depth of USC is going to have issues when you are down to your #5 guy.
July 9th, 2007 at 3:43 pm
29
letsplaytummysticks says:
At least you adhered to the ESPN mandate that the winner of the Rose Bowl would be number 1 to start the year. They only mentioned that roughly 2,000 times while failing to show the OU-BSU highlights.
July 9th, 2007 at 3:47 pm
30
John F says:
I think you’re spot on with West Virginia, Orson Their 3-3-5 defense doesn’t have to be great, just good enough. Their offense should be worse than Goro, more like Akuma (if you allow me to switch fighting game franchises) – frighteningly fast and powerful.
They’ll should win the Big East again. They should run the table within the conference – including Rutgers on the road.
I’m trying as hard as I can to think of why they won’t; but I got nothing short of a comical upset by, let’s say Cincinnati.
July 9th, 2007 at 3:47 pm
31
Orson Swindle says:
That definitely means we have to revise, then, Tummysticks.
July 9th, 2007 at 3:48 pm
32
fife in pdx says:
Noel Devine.
you think he plays right off the bat? dude looks like he’s 30 so im guessin maybe, if deion is ok with it.
July 9th, 2007 at 3:56 pm
33
Herringbone says:
How many more years do we have to hear about the “LSU has so much talent they should win every game by a half-hundred speech?” For all of that talent and annual hype, they could be the biggest underachiever over the last 10 years in college football…IMO
It is a bit tired boys…
July 9th, 2007 at 3:57 pm
34
maskedavenger says:
Since Michigan’s chances are almost all schedule related, a couple of notes. MSU (road), ND (home), Wisconsin (road), OSU (home) , and Minnesota (home) all start new QBs this year.
The teams with returning QBs are Northwestern (road – Bacher 59%, 6 td and 8 int), Oregon (home – Dixon 6%, 12 td and 14int), PSU (home – Morreli 54%, 11td and 8int), Purdue (home – Painter 59%, 22td and 19 int), and Illinois (road – Williams 40% 9 td, and 9 int).
I didn’t list EMU or Hot! Hot! Hot! University because it shouldn’t matter who quarterbacks those teams.
For comparison sake, Henne completed 62% of his passes with 22tds and 8 ints.
The point of all this is that Michigan’s most glaring weakness (pass defense) is obvious to all, but there are no proven great QBs on the schedule.
I still think that Michigan is likely to trip up once or twice somewhere since its defense is so unproven, but given the relatively soft schedule this year, a championship game appearance is not entirely out of the question.
Baseline is 10-2 with Wisconsin, OSU, Oregon, PSU being the toughest games and Purdue, ND, MSU, and Illinois being potentially loseable. Losses to Northwestern, EMU, Hot, Hot, Hot or Minnesota will lead to sniper fire from campus landmarks.
July 9th, 2007 at 3:57 pm
35
Kevin @ Fanblogs.com says:
Crab bucket metaphor = genius.
July 9th, 2007 at 3:59 pm
36
TigerNacho says:
“For all of that talent and annual hype, they could be the biggest underachiever over the last 10 years in college football”
Sadly, you’re dead-on here. Not that I’d turn in the last 10 years of underachieving – which include a MNC and two Sugar Bowl titles – for anything in the world.
July 9th, 2007 at 4:00 pm
37
AnnArborIsAWhore says:
Hey Michigan fans, please keep LLLLLoyd there forever!
July 9th, 2007 at 4:02 pm
38
AULIVESNFTWORTH says:
ALABAMA WILL WIN 2 NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIPS THIS YEAR, MARK IT DOWN BITCHES
July 9th, 2007 at 4:03 pm
39
maskedavenger says:
Carr’s has a 9.41win and 3 loss average over 12 seasons. So it is supposed to be WWWWWWWWW.41WLLLoyd?
July 9th, 2007 at 4:08 pm
40
Rob says:
The newspapers in Tuscaloosa and Birmingham don’t count as national championships.
July 9th, 2007 at 4:08 pm
41
jon says:
#16 re:Big East on the Road.
You mean, like when WfVU embarassed UGA in the Sugar Bowl for which they were given no chance to compete?
I can’t figure out SEC-instigated bashing of the Big East. They get crapped on because they don’t draw as well as SEC teams (doye), but now apparently they are dependent on sleeping within the coziness of their own 500-thread count Egyptian cotton sheets to be able to win.
July 9th, 2007 at 4:09 pm
42
Herringbone says:
Tiger – #35
I am downplaying any of LSU’s accomplishments, but it just seems that every year LSU is supposed to be a MNC contender just on talent alone…it doesnt work that way from my recollection…otherwise USC and Texas would win every game.
July 9th, 2007 at 4:11 pm
43
adam says:
“Linebacker named John Holmes…penetration”. Truly breathtaking, sir. Literary genius.
July 9th, 2007 at 4:11 pm
44
maskedavenger says:
Obviously, Dixon is not a 6% passer; rather, he is a 61% passer.
July 9th, 2007 at 4:14 pm
45
GatorWriter says:
The WVU player named John Holmes is from my high school in Rockledge, Florida.
No word on his penetrative abilities, but, hey, he is a hybrid LB/DE.
July 9th, 2007 at 4:15 pm
46
Orson Swindle says:
Then we would be talking about Reggie Ball, sir.
July 9th, 2007 at 4:16 pm
47
JoesDeliGatorTail says:
Understood Orson, btw I agree with your schedule but would swap LSU for Michigan. That whole speed thing.
July 9th, 2007 at 4:17 pm
48
bruinhoo says:
Lane Kiffin was still at USC during the 2006 season; a year under Al Davis will likely make him wish he could go back in 08.
July 9th, 2007 at 4:28 pm
49
ness says:
Orson, as to LSU being left out of the top 3, I think you are dead on with that one…LSU might not be lacking in the talent department, but in the coaching arena, he of “le tres mal chapeau ” will gift a game or two to a lesser opponent.(ie Auburn 06).
So your punditry is twice as smart as the rest of the world’s, but only by half.
July 9th, 2007 at 4:29 pm
50
Les Miles says:
Drop LSU down any further than #4, Orson, and see what happens. I’ll beat your scrawny bloggin’ ass into next week.
And BTW, what a piss poor way to handle the unveiling of a pre-season Top 25 poll. THREE at a time? Jesus, son. Put some Goddamn effort in. Your cooter hurt or something?
July 9th, 2007 at 4:43 pm