I am saying just the opposite, actually, about the voters. They are MORE conservative than we think they are, not less. That’s the reason why Peterson was not able to win despite the hype and his great season. In the end, the front-and-center media types just don’t carry the weight that we think when it comes to the rank and file Heisman voters, who will always flock to the safest choice. I agree that voting in a sophomore is a real possibility and Peterson may be the only guy who can do it. However, it’s never ever ever ever happened in the history of the Heisman. Perhaps it is a combination of institutional bias or karma. My favorite example is Herschel Walker. He ran for 1,666 yards in 1980, outrushed Heisman winner George Rogers in the head-to-head battle, led his team to the national title and he finished third. Fine. You think he’s the front runner for 1981, right? Well, he WAS. He even ran for 1,891 yards, bettering his freshman year stats. Only problem was that Marcus Allen ran for 2,342 to become the first guy to crack the 2,000 yard mark. Allen won the Heisman and so Walker had to wait one more year. In the end, winning the Heisman has a lot of cosmic connotations floating around it. To do so well as a freshman, as Walker and Peterson did, you have to have a lot of things go right. To duplicate that as a sophomore, you have to have a lot of things go right for the second year in a row. I think the odds are that it just won’t happen. As for pass happy, I think the 50-50 ratio is a misnomer. Would you call a team that ran 51% of the time ‘run-happy?’. Probably not. I think there are teams that try to find a balance, but nonetheless very few teams in college football are truly balanced. I count, perhaps, six that are able to do both effectively.